Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.734472e-05 0.000080 0.000094 0.000110 0.000128 0.000148 0.000170
2025-03-30 5.025220e-05 0.000067 0.000086 0.000110 0.000137 0.000169 0.000207
2025-04-06 3.979267e-05 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000141 0.000180 0.000230
2025-04-13 3.354776e-05 0.000052 0.000076 0.000108 0.000149 0.000198 0.000260
2025-04-20 2.662224e-05 0.000045 0.000070 0.000104 0.000149 0.000204 0.000276
2025-04-27 2.234258e-05 0.000041 0.000066 0.000103 0.000153 0.000216 0.000298
2025-05-04 1.895239e-05 0.000037 0.000064 0.000103 0.000157 0.000227 0.000320
2025-05-11 1.700771e-05 0.000035 0.000063 0.000106 0.000166 0.000244 0.000350
2025-05-18 1.488042e-05 0.000033 0.000062 0.000107 0.000171 0.000257 0.000374
2025-05-25 1.200116e-05 0.000029 0.000057 0.000103 0.000170 0.000260 0.000386
2025-06-01 9.926993e-06 0.000026 0.000054 0.000101 0.000171 0.000267 0.000402
2025-06-08 8.412747e-06 0.000024 0.000052 0.000100 0.000174 0.000275 0.000421
2025-06-15 7.133593e-06 0.000022 0.000051 0.000101 0.000179 0.000289 0.000448
2025-06-22 5.782253e-06 0.000020 0.000049 0.000100 0.000182 0.000299 0.000471
2025-06-29 4.495834e-06 0.000018 0.000045 0.000098 0.000182 0.000305 0.000488
2025-07-06 3.842077e-06 0.000017 0.000045 0.000099 0.000189 0.000321 0.000517
2025-07-13 2.807021e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000095 0.000186 0.000322 0.000528
2025-07-20 2.240457e-06 0.000013 0.000040 0.000094 0.000189 0.000332 0.000551
2025-07-27 1.785368e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000094 0.000192 0.000343 0.000574
2025-08-03 1.568996e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000097 0.000201 0.000361 0.000608
2025-08-10 1.294184e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000098 0.000206 0.000374 0.000636
2025-08-17 8.912240e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000094 0.000204 0.000376 0.000647
2025-08-24 6.332376e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000092 0.000204 0.000381 0.000663